This is a sequel to the articles [1, 2]

The statistics pertaining to the Foci of the comet Hale-Bopp (HB) certifies that a series of events relevant to the specified factors of influence show a trend to manifest intensely in a close vicinities of the comet HB’s Time Foci and, first of all, in those countries where those events firstly took place. As it is a trend, this does not mean that at each Focus and at each country these events must take place in abundance, but that after a trend has been revealed, the events would develop in the respective way and, in most cases, would show intensification at the subsequent Foci. The best way to check this statement is to track the statistics for countries (e.g. N. Korea) of types of events (e.g. air crashes) over the years [3] that passed since the initial manifestations in 1997 [5].

As the below analysis shows, this Spring all Foci were marked by extremely numerous manifestations – especially those which are associated with air crashes, crazy shootings, take overs, quakes, and even in new aspects: thus the Natural calamities, apart from the former factors, are now replenished with the asteroid  threat.

  1. After an intense manifestations of the Autumn Focus T7 (Sep.16), when the starting point of the world-wide financial and industrial crisis had begun, and Winter Focus T2 (Jan. 3), when most pronounced events were the European Gas Crisis and Israeli Invasion in Gaza, this Spring these and many other manifestations were so numerous and sound that they “filled the gaps” between the 5-day orbs of the HB’s Foci. Such a surge in multiplicity of manifestations relative to factors of influence, countries and number of events at zero level of Solar activity [] in March – April relative to Sunspots which stimulate manifestations pertaining to the Foci [5, 6] may seemingly be explained just by the Bifurcation Point BP15 [7] that fits this period, or more exactly – coincides with the Focus T4 (viz. March 20). To this end it is important to note that these manifestations have decreased in number after Focus TB (April 7 – 11) as quick as they their number increased before, at Focus PG (Feb. 24 – 26) preceding the comet HB’s Focus T3 (viz. March 3), although this decrease is slightly masked by a typical after-effect. To illustrate this, a greater time span, than a conventional 5-day orb, is reflected in the Summary for TB.
  2. As the events appearing at Foci act as “sparks” for the subsequent development we may assume that those trends that obtained a support by multiplicity of events would probably obtain further development in the forthcoming Foci – on T6 (viz. July 4, 14) and T7 (September 16), and may be further on, in cycle – T1, T2, etc. In particular, these trends are seen in influence of Space objects, Earthquakes, socio-political and economical collisions (See Sects. 1 – 3).
  3. We may also presume that the prospective growth of Solar activity would benefit [6] to intensification of the awaited events, the more so since the protracted minimum of 11-year Solar cycle accelerates the growth of Solar activity (and thus its effect) the maximum of which is expected in 2012 (if not retarded).


[1] Whether Comet Lulin would Energize the Foci of Comet Hale-Bopp?

[2] The Comet Hale-Bopp Foci as the Resonance Points of the Chronicle of World Disasters


[4] Whether the Comet Hale-Bopp is Opening the Gate to the Forthcoming Decade?

[5] The Heavenly Colleagues and their Earthly Pursuits, or Whether this is Uranus for Whom the Battlefield is Prepared?


[7] The Last Multi-Turns of the Spiral of Time before it Rolls Up to Appear in New Reality



1. Space Siblings of the Comet Hale-Bopp

1.1. Asteroids

1.2. Space Debris and ISS

1.2. Space Dust

2. Earthquakes and Volcano eruptions

3. Summary


Earthquakes, Volcano eruptions

Snow storms, avalanches, landslides, hurricanes, loss of dwelling

Deaths on a mass scale from destruction, drowning, fire


Epidemics, poisoning, drugs, cloning

Factor 2:  Engineering Disasters

Aviation accidents

Space Accidents

Transport Accidents


Trains, cars

Technogeneous (non-terrorist) Explosions, Destructions and fires

Factor 3:  Social Effects

3.1. Violation of psychological and legislative boundaries by individuals and groups

Acts of Terrorism

Somalia Pirates

Crazy shooting

Coercion and cruelty



3.2. Violation of frontiers and military operations


Military tests, manoeuvres, wars

Military operations and terrorism in the countries reacting to the comet HB’s Foci from 1997

(Apart from the events that pertain to other factors – AT, etc.)


North Korea


Northern Ireland



3.3. Collisions in politics and social life (Loss of relations, disturbances, revolutions)

London Summit 2009, G20

Sixties anniversary of NATO, Summit NATO 60

Revolutions, coup d’etat




Political and social scandals, resignations, arrests

Demos, riots, Strikes

3.4. Economical collisions

European Gas Crisis



  1. Space Siblings of the Comet Hale-Bopp


1.1. Asteroids


1.1.1. Basic Objects of Consideration

Asteroids of Class GC. The asteroids which are larger than 1 km are extremely dangerous for the Earth. The energy released by a collision with such an object would cause major effects on the climate and biosphere which could be devastating to human civilization. This is the group of Global Catastrophe (GC) asteroids.

For this reason the NASA’s Near Earth Object Observation Program, known as Spaceguard was launched. It was provided for detection and tracking of potentially hazardous asteroids that stray close to the Earth and was aiming for completeness only for asteroids larger than 1 km diameter. The lesser asteroids have to come very close before it is within range of the survey telescopes.

Over the last 60 years only the object 1950 DA of this type was close to the Earth (See Table 1).

Asteroids of Class LC. However, even the asteroids which are larger than 40 – 50 m are dangerous for the Earth. Thus, even the “smallest” asteroids of this type, such as 2002 EM7 or  2009 DD45 (See Table 1) are about the same size as a hypothetical object that could have caused the Tunguska Explosion in 1908 and levelled 800 square miles of forest with the force of 1,000 atomic bombs that dropped on Hiroshima (10 to 15 mega tonnes of TNT). Besides, even lesser rocks such as 2002 EM7 could do serious damage by unleashing monster tsunamis on coastal areas. This is the group of Local Catastrophe (LC) asteroids.

Asteroids of Class AT. The asteroids being lesser than 30 – 40 m. Due to their smaller size they are also called meteoroids. Had this object hit Earth, it would probably have detonated high in the atmosphere or produced a blast measured in hundreds of kilotons of TNT. This is a group of asteroids (or meteoroids) which may produce Atmospheric or Limited Terrestrial (AT) effect (e.g. explosion or tsunami) depending of their size, velocity, trajectory (the angle at which it hits the Earth’s atmosphere), and composition (whether this is an icy, rocky, or metallic body).

Since the last decades only the asteroids of classes LC and AT have approached the Earth. More or less systematically they were being detected and registered during the last decade. But what is important, many of them were detected after they had passed the perigee since they were “small” enough and were not seen in the direction of the Sun.

Consider the closest approaches to the Earth by asteroids that are presented in the table 2 [1, 2] that lists, in order of increasing nominal geocentric distance, the closest known approaches to the earth by minor planets. As far as it contains a great number of meteoroids, we concentrate on the first 21 objects of this table (viz. on the 21 asteroids that missed the Earth at the shortest distances over the period of observation) so that the 21st is the largest one in this group (2002 MN with a diameter of 50 to 120 m), whereas the subsequent group of farther passing asteroids is basically composed of several dozens of meteoroids of secondary importance (due to their small size and remoteness). For distinctness, call it the Closest asteroid, or C-group. Several representatives of this group and other important asteroids are described in Table 1 in more detail.


1.1.2. Analysis (for the asteroids that appeared since 1997)

The statistics of asteroids [1] “begs the question, why are we seeing so many asteroids lately?” [3].

  1. General trend. Indeed, firstly we see that during the last years the asteroids, in average, come closer and closer to the Earth. In years, the table of C-group is replenished as follows.

Table 2. The asteroids that missed the Earth at the shortest distances. An extract from the Table [1] for the respective years (in this Table the name of asteroid denotes the year of Perigee). For short, only the asteroids of C-group are presented (the remaining ones are allocated below, viz. they passed at larger distances).

*)Top 21 Closest approaches to the Earth by minor planets for the epoch of April 2009 (allocated in order of increasing nominal geocentric distance). Credit to [1]

  1. Major asteroid Perigee vs. the HB’s Foci. Consider, how the time of Perigee of the asteroids of Class LC correlates with the Foci of the comet Hale Bopp.

1.1. Only four asteroids of the C-group, 2004 FH, 2009 DD45, 2002 XV90, and 2002 MN belong to class LC since their size exceeds 50 m (2004 FH is lesser in size, but its mass is important as well). If the former two passed the Perigee two weeks before the respective Foci (July 4 and December 21, respectively), the latter two – in 2 and 1 day before the Foci March 20 and March 3, respectively.

Table 3. The closest LC-class Asteroids of Group C

Date of Perigee


Remoteness from Earth in Moon distance D

Estimate of size (m)

June 14, 2002

2002 MN


50 – 120

December 11, 2002

2002 XV90


25 -60

March 18, 2004

2004 FH



March 2, 2009

2009 DD45



1.2. Meanwile, the upper estimate of the sizes of asteroids 2005 FN, 2009 FH, and 2006 DD1 is 15 to 30 m, which allows to consider them as quite dangerous, if not belonging to class LC. The remaining asteroids were “small” enough (up to 7 – 12 m).

The former two ones passed the Perigee in a day (on March 18.51 an 18.91) before the Focus March 20, and the latter – in a week before the Focus March 3.

1.3. After a short “recession” in 2005 – 2007, a “rain” of asteroids took place in 2008 (one of them, 2008 TC3, about 5 m in diameter, burned up in Earth’s atmosphere over Africa 19 hours after it was discovered) as if it “heated” the situation, and an “aimed shooting” in 2009, as in 2004.

Indeed, the comparison of C-group asteroids for the years of 2004 and 2009 (See Table 3) shows that:

– The asteroids were passing the Perigee as synchronized by HB’s Foci, with a deviation of 2 – 3 days!

–  In 2009 a LC-class asteroid 2009 DD45 passes Perigee two weeks before a meteoroid 2009 FH, as in 2004 a similar in size LC-class asteroid 2004 FH passes Perigee at a similar distance two weeks before a meteoroid FU162; pay attention, that all of them pass the Perigee at the HB’s Foci! Note that the  2004 FH is the only asteroid of this size and remoteness that precedes 2009 DD45.

–  Moreover, the Weekly World News reports that an Italian researcher recorded footage of the asteroid 2009 DD 45 and discovered a UFO near it! After reviewing video of the rock, some scientists noticed an object that must move in order to avoid collision. What is it? Sceptics are speculating that it could be just a bug on the telescope, but what are the odds of it moving at that exact moment?

1.1.3. Conclusion

After the comet Hale-Bopp’s flyby in 1997, the asteroids had started to “shell” the Earth more aimingly: from year to year they pass the Perigee (i) at a lesser distance and (ii) closer to the comet Hale-Bopp’s Time Foci.

1.2. Space  Debris  and  ISS

As the Earth was in danger relative to asteroids during the period of HB’s Spring Foci, so the International Space Station – with respect to the artificial debris. Thus,

on March 12   (viz. at HB’s Focus T8 of March 13)  the ISS screw was evacuated in the Orbital module,


on March 24  (viz. at HB’s Focus T5 of March 24) the course of the ISS was changed with the aim to escape collision with a remainder of Chinese space rocket.

1.3.  Space  Dust

The Space dust plays a great part in the processes which exert influence on the Earth’s Magnetosphere, atmosphere and living matter. The Esotery gives probably even greater consideration to this factor by stating [5] that the heat that the Earth receives by radiation from the Sun is at the utmost one third if not less of the amount received by her directly from the meteors, and that meteoric dust (including the residues of burning of asteroids, such as 2008 TC3, above) has the direct influence upon the changes of temperature and the height of our atmosphere being increased or decreased.

To this end the fact of our Earth now passing through a region of space in which the increasing intensity of all forms of Cosmic rays is observed [4] is of great importance, as this, together with the increasing level of Space dust income benefits to climate change and shift in mentality since we may presume that the Cosmic rays act not less efficiently than the Solar activity [6], if even the HB’s Foci provoke such intense manifestations (See the Summary, below).

References for Sec. 1

[1] Closest Approaches to the Earth by Minor Planets

[2] Conversion of Absolute Magnitude to Diameter

[3] Newly Discovered Asteroid 2009 FH to Buzz Past the Earth Tonight

[4] S. Smelyakov The Celestial Crosses in Earth’s Exposure to the Growing Solar Activity and Galactic Influence

[5] The Mahatma Letters to A.P. Sinnett. Letter No. 23b


  1. Earthquakes and Volcano eruptions


A series of quakes and volcano eruptions that occurred at Focus T2 (Jan. 3) at the boundaries of:

Pacific plate:

Kamchatka (Pacific/Eurasian Plate boundary)

Philippines (Pacific/Eurasian/ Philippine Plate boundary)

Eurasian Plate:

Bulgaria (Eurasian/African Plate boundary)

Afghanistan , Pakistan, Tajikistan (Eurasian/Indian Plate boundary)

Australian Plate:

Indonesia (Australian/Eurasian Plate boundary)

Area of conjunction of Nazca, South American, Cocos and Carribean Plates

Costa Rica

have reiterated at the Spring Foci at the boundaries of:

* Pacific Plate

PG      28        Russia. Volcano eruption, Kurils

T8       11-13     Russia. Intensification of eruption of volcano “Koriaksky” (Kamchatka): 5 tons of ashes a

second; airplanes change their courses to avoid ash clouds

T4       19         Tonga, underwater volcano eruption

            20        Tonga, Earthquake, 7.9 on Richter Scale (RS)

T5       28        Alaska. Volcano erupts three times. Airport is closed for flights

TB        7        Russia. Kurils: 5 earthquakes a day (up to 6.9 RS)

* Eurasian Plate

Italy (Eurasian/African Plate boundary)

PG      28        Earthquake

            30        Fall of a rock: several buildings are destroyed

TB        6        Italy. The strongest earthquake in 30 years, 6.7 on RS:

                        L’Aquila city is totally destroyed, surrounding cities are damaged. State of emergency.

                        290 victims,  1500 are hospitalized, wounded, 15 000 houses,  50 000 homeless

                        damage exceeds 1 billion Euro

              7        New quakes – up to 5 on RS;

              9        New quakes, destructions

Central Asia (Eurasian/Indian Plate boundary)

TB      17         Afghanistan. Earthquake, 5.5 RS, more than 70 victims

*  Australian Plate (Australian/Eurasian Plate boundary) :

T3         6        Indonesia. Eruption of the Volcano Semuro

TB       9        Indonesia. 3 earthquakes a day, more than 5 RS

  • Earthquake, 6.6 RS

* Nazca/South American Plate

T8       14         Columbia, Volcanic eruption

TB        5        Chile. Red, the highest level of danger is announced: eruption of volcano Lyama

Reference for Sec. 2

Allocation of major quakes and volcano eruptions at comet Hale-Bopp’s Spring Foci


  1. The comet Hale-Bopp’s Geographical and Time Foci, as well as Factors of influence are presented in:

The Comet Hale-Bopp Foci as the Resonance Points of the Chronicle of World Disasters

  1. Smelyakov. January 27, 2009 ,


In this work the Spring Foci are considered:

T3 (March 3),  T8 (March 13),  T4 (March 20),  T5 (March 24),  TB (April 7 11)

with the orb of 5 days corresponding to 5º deviation of Sun from the source events of 1997.

  1. 2. The associated comet Lulin’s Foci (including PG of February 24 – 26) are presented in:

Whether Comet Lulin would Energize the Foci of Comet Hale-Bopp?

  1. Smelyakov. February 14, 2009  ,


  1. Since this event-reference report is neither a novel, nor an official declaration, the authors considers it pardonable to use, for short, the headline telegraph style. At this, the events are referred to in compliance with the following pattern:

Ti     Date: country, event, (victims), (wounded)

where: Ti stands for the considered HB’s of comet Lulin’s Foci PG, T3, T8, T4, T5, TB; these denotations are placed at the beginning of the orb of the respective focus.

For short, the dates of the actual events are given without month


Victims“, if they are, denotes the number of human beings that died directly at the place of the event, without mortally wounded  and those who went away later.


Comet  HB’s  Factors of influence are given below in compliance with the initial rubrics, but with greater sub-partitioning for better perception.


Space influence  – See Sec. 1

Earthquakes, Volcano eruptions – See Sec. 2


Snow storms, avalanches, landslides, hurricanes; deaths on a mass scale from destruction

PG      27         Rostov, Russia. Heavy snow storm: airport is closed

            27         W. Australia. Powerful hurricane  

            28        California. SE: due to drought the ponds are emptying

T3       3, 4       S. Russia, Georgia. Heavy snow storms: the roads are snow-blocked; transport collapse,

more than 100 road accidents

 7         Russia, Far East. Powerful cyclone: monthly norm of  precipitations in a day; wind 25 m/s

 9         Northern Caucasus. Snow storm; 6 avalanches, Trans-Caucasian arterial road is closed.

 9         Moscow. Heavy snow storm

T8       11          Alps. Avalanche, 4 victims

13         Kazakhstan. Heavy snow storm: wind 40 m/s, roads are snow-blocked, mass wire breaks

13         Norway. Landslide washes 9 buildings in the sea

T4       18         Elbrus. Avalanche kills free rider

            21         Italy. Heavy snow storm

T5       23         Northern Caucasus. A tourist disappears in mountains

            24        Khabarovsk Region, Russia. SE: 5-day heavy snow storm: 5 m snowdrifts, 2 m of snow on

                        the roofs. 5-month norm of  snow in 5 days. The roads are snow-blocked. mass wire breaks

            24        USA. Heavy snow storms: the roads are snow-blocked

            26        USA. North Dakota is declared a zone of natural disaster

            26        USA, Southern regions. 40 thousand people are without electricity due to bad weather

            27         Indonesia. Dyke breach: 77 victims, hundreds of houses are flooded

            27         Sakhalin. Cyclone, transport collapse

            27         USA. Fargo: people are evacuated due to a flood

            28        Russia. Finnic: 22 fishermen are saved from an ice-floe

            29         USA. Fargo: flooding is worsening by bad weather, ice-floes

TB        2        India. Tornado, 10 victims, dozens of villages are destroyed

  • Avalanche, 6 victims

  9        Russia. Krasnoyarsk region: heavy floods

            10-11     USA: Arkansas, Texas, Oklahoma. Tornados: 3 victims, 30 wounded; a town is destroyed,

gas-main is damaged. Conflagrations propagate due to a strong wind (up to 27 m/s),

dozens houses are burnt. Thousands of people are evacuated

            11          Winter returned in Southern Europe (Italy, Portugal…): Snowstorm, the roads are blocked.

            12         Russia. Orenburg Region: after +20 a snowstorm: roads are blocked. Firstly in 30 years

            16         Kirghizia. Landslide, 16 victims



PG      24        Australia. New wave of fires with a front of 1000 km; 200 victims, 7000 homeless

  • Sverdlovsk: fire in a dwelling house, 8 victims, 5 wounded
  • Fire in Marriott (opened 2 months before), victims
    • Southern Australia. Breaking out of new fires. SE is declared. 37 victims

T8       13         Russia. Petrozavodsk: fire in old people’s home, 1 victim. (On March 5, viz. T3,

a fire precaution was made)

            13         Bangladesh. Fire in the largest Trade Centre (22-story building), victims, 20 wounded

            14         Australia. More than 8000 homeless. It is declared that the fires were caused by instigates

T4       17         Chile. Forest fires

  • 16 hour conflagration in the City. Mass evacuation from nearby buildings

T5        22         Yemen. Fire in oil storage

  • Khabarovsk: fire in a preventorium, 6 wounded

23         Russia. Barnaul, chemical plant: explosion, fire. 1 victim, several wounded

            30        Russia. Moscow: explosion, fire, collapse of roof in a building of Aviation University

TB        7        Russia. Khabarovsk: explosion of gas-cylinder, fire, people are evacuated

              7        Russia. Yekaterinburg: Gas-main is damaged in the centre of the city; evacuation of citizens

              8        Philippines: explosion at factory, 12 victims

              9        Russia. Yakutia region: heavy wind left region without electricity

              9        Turkmenistan: great damage at Gas-main: gas supply to Russia is stopped

            10         Mexico: 5 million citizens of Mexico City are left without water

            13         Abkhazia. The country is left without electricity due to a damage on a power line  

            13         Poland. Fire at a asylum, 22 victims, 22 wounded. National mourning

            18         China. Explosion in a mine, 18 victims


Epidemics, poisoning, drugs, cloning

T8         9        Obama abolishes Bush’s ban on stem cells

T4       16         Russia. Ufa: A net of 8 amphetamine production and distribution centres is disclosed

T5       21         Spain. Police intercepts a set of pressured cocaine service, 30 kg in total

  • Pennsylvania: 16 tonnes of very poisonous etching acid is spilled from a tank-car

TB        1         Confiker, one of the most hazardous computer viruses, is to be re-activated in the world;

damage is estimated as $250 000

              3        Russia. Scandal with mildronat: insertion of improper drug at a factory: strong medicine is

packed instead of cardiac one; several victims and injured. Two cases are opened

              9        Russia. Chita: 2 tonnes of insecticide are found at outskirts

            10         Russia. Omsk: milk-product poisoning of children: 10 in a hospital, 3 in reanimation

            13         Ukraine. 3 men tried to sell a container with Plutonium-239 (3.7 kg) for $ 10 millions.

It could be used by terrorists for creating a “dirty bomb”

            22         Russia. Sakhalin: large-scale spill of oil

March-April  The 2009 swine flu (H1N1) outbreak in Mexico and soon after in the USA and Canada.

                        The outbreak was first detected in Mexico, with a surge starting March 18 (viz. at T5).

The first deadly case seems to go back to the 13 April (viz. at TB).

In March and April over 1600 cases were detected in Mexico, causing 103 deaths (20 confirmed) by April 26. Its presence was quickly suspected on most continents. In April the WHO and the USA expressed serious concerns about this novel strain, because it transmits from human to human, has a relatively high mortality rate and the potential to become a flu pandemic. On April 25, the WHO determined the situation to be a formal “public health emergency of international concern“. []        A paragraph is added on April 27


Factor 2:  Engineering Disasters

Aviation accidents

PG      25         Amsterdam. Boeing-737 had split into 3 parts; 9 killed, 86 wounded

            26        Russia. Volgograd: crash landing of Boeing-737 from UAE

28         Russia. Moscow: several flights are delayed due to breakage of several airplanes

            28        Romania. Crash landing of SAAB-2000

            28        USA. Louisiana: one engine plane crashed, 3 victims

T8         8        Australia. Crash landing of US bomber B-1B

  • Freight carrier Il-76 crashed, 11 victims
  • Northern Atlantics. Helicopter crashed, 1 man saved

13         Russia. Perm: Crash landing of Boeing 737 (went off the runway)

T4       18         Russia. Krasnodar: training plane L-39 crashed, 1 victim. All flights of L-39 are cancelled

            19         Russia. Murmansk: Crash landing due to a crack in a Boeing 737 pilot’s glass,

            19         Russia. Khabarovsk: Crash landing due to an AN-28 engine failure

            20        Ecuador: airplane had crashed in a dwelling house, 7 victims

            21         USA: small plane crashed, 2 victims

            22         Alps: small plane crashed, 2 victims

            22        Montana USA Pilatus PC-12 crashed into a cemetery, 14 victims

T5       23         Japan: freight carrier broke out at landing, 2 victims. The first crash of this type of plane.

                        Tokyo’s airport works in an emergent mode

  • Montana: airplane crash, 17 victims

23         Istanbul: crash landing of Ukrainian Yak-40, emergent evacuation (went off the runway)

23         Lithuania. Crash landing of Danish air force

25         Turkey: helicopter crash, 2 victims, 3 wounded

25         USA. The latest F22- Raptor stealth fighter has crashed

26         Columbia: air force helicopter crashed, 4 victims      

27         Brazil: an engine had broken away from a US aircraft and breached the roof and several

floors in a dwelling house. The aircraft had dragged till the airport

            29         Japan: plane crash, 2 victims

            30        Poland: Navy plane crash, 4 victims

            30        South Korean F-16 had crashed over the Yellow Sea

TB        1         North Sea: helicopter crash, 8 victims

              4        Russia. Moscow: emergent landing

              6        Indonesia. Military plane crashed, 24 victims

  7        Russia. Moscow: emergent landing (depressurization 20 minutes after take-off)

            12         Turkey. Antalia: emergent landing (failure of generator during the flight)

            17         Indonesia. Plane crashed, 10 victims

            18         USA. Florida: A plane crashed in a house, 1 victim

            18         Venezuela. Plane with tourists crash, several victims

            22         Russia. Tomsk: crash of helicopter, several wounded

Space Accidents

T8       11          NASA: the launch of Shuttle Discovery is postponed by 1 day due to a gas leakage

12         The ISS screw, in danger of Space debris, evacuated in the Orbital module (See Sec. 1.2)

16         Shuttle Discovery is launched (after 6 delays, since Feb. 12)

16         Russian Rocket “Rokot” with ESA satellite GOCE is to be launched

The launch is stopped 7 seconds (!) before the start  and is postponed by 1 day

T4       17         “Rokot” is successfully launched

            21         ISS: platform is damaged while fixing it in outer space; it is attached by a rope

T5       24        The screw of Shuttle had not succeeded in fixing the bracket

            24        The course of the ISS was changed with the aim to escape collision with a remainder of

Chinese space rocket (See Sec. 1.2)

            28        Docking of ISS and Soyuz is carried out manually, since the automatic docking failed

Transport Accidents


T8         9        Red Sea: shipwreck, 15 victims

              9        Thailand. Phuket: excursion bout shipwreck, 6 victims

T4       19         Russia. Kurils: 2 victims, 2 wounded (in icy water)

            20        Hormus Str.: nuclear-powered submarine and US landing warship collided with large

damages; probably 15 wounded

T5       22         Vietnamese excursion bout shipwreck, 2 victims

            23         Greek frigate: fuel leakage caused an explosion

30         Libyan coast: shipwreck of a vessel with immigrants; about 200 victims

TB      10         Sri Lanka. A ship with sulphuric acid has sunk

Trains, cars

PG      24        Moscow: in a stolen car the hijacker wounded 16 people: at a bus stops and footway he

                        tried “to push” people; he drove the car for the third time in his life

  • Komi: a car run into a column of pupils, 6 wounded

27         Ukraine. Kharkov: bus road accident, fire; 7 burned-out alive, 12 wounded

T3         7        Bulgaria. Tourist bus road accident, 6 victims

  • Tourist bus road accident, 15 wounded
  • School bus road accident, 1 victim, 25 wounded

T8       12         Peru. Bus fell in abyss, 10 victims

14         Viet Nam. Tourist bus fell in 200 m abyss, 9 victims, 15 wounded

15         Ukraine. Kharkov: bus and car collided, fire; 4 victims, 26 wounded

T5       25         Russia. Krasnodar: a car killed 4 people on a bus stop

            26        Russia. Vladimir: bus and truck collided, fire; 14 victims, 4 wounded

            28        Czechia: racing car digs into a crowd, 3 victims

TB        2        USA. Los Angeles: a truck run into a building, 2 victims, 12 wounded

              2        Russia. Moscow: a truck and 2 cars fall in the opening to an underground collector

              4        Russia. St Petersburg: a train with fuel comes off the rails; the fuel run out to the ground

            11          Egypt. A truck collided with a bus, 11 victims, 7 wounded

            12         France. During a cycle race Paris-Rouen a motorcycle run into a crowd

            12         Rostov: a car run into a crowd: 13 people wounded, 4 – badly; unrecorded case in 10 years

            17         Germany. Berlin: a collision of two trains, 24 wounded

            19         Mexico. Collision of 2 trains, victims, 70 wounded


Technogeneous (non-terrorist) Explosions, Destructions and fires

PG      26        Russia. Rostov: gas explosion in a train: 1 victim, 6 wounded

T3         3        Cologne: State Archive House (of 1971) and two adjacent Buildings collapsed so that a

                        crater was formed as after bombing. This is the largest city archive in Germany: “Bank

of German history”; loss of 18 km of archival shells are compared with the Weimar fire of 2004. 3 victims, 1 wounded. It contained manuscripts of 1000 years old. The damage exceeds hundreds of million Euros.

              4        Russia. Far East: gas explosion in a 2-story dwelling house; 7 victims, 6 wounded

              7        Russia. Novosibirsk: gas-cylinder explosion in a dwelling house, fire, 3 wounded

T8       13         Uganda: public building collapsed, 50 victims, wounded

            15         Russia. Lipetsk: gas explosion at a factory, 2 victims

T4       16         Ukraine. Lugansk: a 2-story dwelling house collapsed at night, victims

            20        Kazakhstan: conflagration at an ammunition depot, 2 victims, 16 wounded

            20        Sakhalin: roofs in schools, hospitals, etc. collapsed because of 2m snowdrifts on the roofs

T5       23         China: explosion at a chemical plant, 11 victims

            24        Russia. N. Novgorod: a crane fell on a dwelling house, 2 victims, house is damaged

TB        1         Moldova: a breach of gas pipe to Balkans fire. Gas  supply is cancelled for several days

            20        Russia. Volgograd: a monument to defenders of the city has collapsed

Factor 3:  Social Effects

3.1. Violation of psychological and legislative boundaries by individuals and groups

Acts of Terrorism (AT); victims – V, wounded – W

PG      26        Pakistan. Marriott: explosion, fire, 15 W

27         Russia. Dagestan: AT is prevented at gas-main

            28        Russia. Ingushetia: shooting in a police car, 3 W

T3         3        Pakistan. Lahore: police guard and Sri Lanka cricket team are shelled and shot, 8 V, 8 W

              3        France: letters with threat of death are received by Secretary of the Interior, Justice, etc.

              4        Iraq: explosion near the German embassy, 2 V, 12 W

              4        Russia. Altai: The head of regional election committee and his family are murdered (gas)

              5        Iraq: AT, 12 V, 40 W

              5        Russia. Ingushetia: 5 V, 3 W on terrorist mine clearing

              7        Pakistan, AT, 10 V

              8        Iraq. The monthly largest AT near a police station, 28 V, 57 W

T8         9        Greece. Athens: bomb explosion near the Citibank

            10         Russia. Dagestan: 4 explosive assemblies are discovered this day

            10         Baghdad: AT, 33 V

            10         Ukraine. Kiev: a hand grenade is thrown in window of sanitary service, 7 W. This is the

                        first case of AT in several years, but the grenades were not used. Revenge is assumed

11          Russia. Attempt on the Chair of the “Convers-Bank”

            11          Iraq. Baghdad: AT, 3 V, 10 W

            11          N. Iraq: AT, 4 V, 20 W

            13         Sudan: 3 doctors of Int. humanitarian organization are kidnapped to ransom

            13         Netherlands: a series of explosions was prepared in supermarkets. In Amsterdam 7 persons

are arrested, a series of shops is closed. A similar police raid is undertaken in Belgium

14         Nigeria: 20 extremists attacked a ship and took 4 hostages

T4       15         Yemen. AT: 4 V (foreign tourists)

            15         Kabul: AT, 2 V, 14 W

            16         Pakistan. Second (in a week) grenade shelling of military base, W

            16         Afghanistan. 2 ATs, 12 V (policemen)

            18         Russia. Opening of trial relative to 39 people being accused of terrorism who killed dozens

                        and wounded hundreds in 2008 and earlier.

            19         Afghanistan. AT: 5 V (including MP)

            19         Russia. Dagestan: up to 15 terrorists are blocked in mountain region

            19         Russia. Kabardino-Balkaria: attack on a house with terrorists, 3 V (policeman, 2 terrorists)

            20        Russia. Dagestan: 4 men are arrested for preparing AT

            20        Russia. Dagestan: car with bandits is attacked, 2 V (terrorists)

            21         USA. Threat letters are received by the authorities of AIG. Official precaution is made

            21         Russia. Dagestan: blocked terrorists are captured or killed, 19 V (14 bandits, 5 policemen)

            21         Afghanistan. AT, 6 V

21         Afghanistan. AT, 5 V, several W

T5       23         Baghdad: AT, 8 V, 13 W

            23         Algeria. AT, 4 V (policemen)

            23         Pakistan. Islamabad: explosion, victims

            23         Iraq. AT, 27 V

            24        Iraq, North: AT, 3 V (pupils)

24         Iraq. AT, 3 V, 10 W

            25         Iraq. ATs, 27 V

            26        Iraq. Baghdad: AT, 20 V

            26        Afghanistan. Check point is attacked, 9 V (policemen)

            26        Somalia. Mogadishu: explosion, Minister of Internal affairs is wounded

            26        Pakistan. AT, 11 V

            27         Pakistan. AT: suicide-bomber exploded a mosque, 70 V, 100 W; mosque is destroyed

            27         Russia. Ingushetia. 2 day combat is finished with 2 terrorists who attacked police

            28        UAE. Dubayy: Yamadaev, famous former Chechen commander, is assassinated.

                        On September 24 (viz. around T7) his brother was killed in Moscow. This assassination

                        had caused great resonance in UAE-Russia relations

            29         Pakistan. 12 soldiers are kidnapped

            29         Iraq. Basra: AT, 7 V

            30        Pakistan. Islamic militants seized police academy, 30 V, 100 W; 700 hostages;

8 militants killed, 6 arrested

            30        Iraq. AT, 7 V, 20 W

            30         Afghanistan. AT, 8 V

            31         Leader of Taliban threats with unexampled series of ATs in the USA. His head is estimated

                        in $ 5 million

TB        1         Ukraine. Kiev: second attempt at the deputy rector of Aviation university

              1         Afghanistan. AT, 6 V, 22 W

              3        The first real evidence that explosives were used at 911: ,

  5         Pakistan. A series of AT: more than 40 V, 100 W

              6        India. Several AT: 7 V

              6        Iraq. A series of AT: 34 V, 100 W

              7        India: journalist throws a boot in the Minister of Internal affairs (as in Iraq)

              7        USA. A plane hijacked in Canada is intercepted in the USA       

  8        Iraq. AT: 7 V, 20 W

              9        GB. Unveiling a conspiracy: 12 people are arrested who prepared great AT

            10         Iraq. A series of AT: 11 V, 27 W

            11          Iraq. AT: 25 V

            16         Iraq. AT: 11 V, 23 W (policemen)

            16         Pakistan. AT: 16 V

            17         Tajikistan. Start of anti-terrorist exercise

            20        Pakistan. AT: 20 V

            20        Jamaica. Hijacking of a plane with hostages results in surrender of the terrorist

            22         India. A hijacked train is released from militants


Somalia Pirates

T4       16         Somalia. 4 UNO employees are kidnapped

20         Gulf of Aden: hijacking

T5        25         Seychelles. Hijacking of yacht

26         Gulf of Aden: hijacking of 2 tankers

TB        1         Indian Ocean: hijacking of cruise ship

              5        Indian Ocean: hijacking of tanker

              6        Container ship (cargo value – several dozens million $) is firstly hijacked, 400 miles East of coast

              6        In two days not less than 5 ships are hijacked in Indian Ocean

              8        Indian Ocean: hijacking of US tanker

            10         Yacht is set free, 1 hostage is killed

            11          Hijacking of towboat

            11          Dry cargo ship rejects a pirate attack

            12         The captain of US ship (for whom $ 2 million ransom was asked) escapes, 3 pirates are

killed, 1 arrested

            13         Hijacking of 2 Egyptian ships

            14         Hijacking of 2 ships of firm Satex

            18         Holland military captured 7 pirates

19         Somalia. Several “doctors without frontiers” are kidnapped

            19         Canadian Navy repels pirate’s attack

            22         USA. Firstly in 150 years a pirate (re April 12, See above) appears in court


Crazy shooting

T8         9        USA. Illinois: gunman kills pastor during service

            11          Germany: gunman kills 17, many wounded, at school (pupils, teaches, policemen)

            11          USA. Alabama: jobless gunman killed his family and other people (10 V) in several places,

burn down the house and committed suicide. “most eerie shooting in the history of State”

            12         Holland. Terrorist alert in Amsterdam: a shopping mall was completely evacuated, several

people were arrested

            13         Holland. A boy was arrested in the Netherlands who posted a message on Web forum

announcing that he would commit another school shooting and killing, and that he would

break record of 2007 Virginia Tech. Being captured, he told the police that it was a joke.

T4       19         USA. Michigan: gunman kills 1, wounds 2 and committed suicide

            19         Germany: gunman kills his wife, 8-year son, wounds 3 and then committed suicide

            20        France. Lyons: 17 years old gunman fires from rifle in 11 parents at French nursery

T5       25         Russia. Kirovsk: gunman kills mayor, his deputy and himself

            29         USA. N. Caroline: gunman kills 8 and wounds 3 in old people’s home

            30        USA. California: gunman kills 6

            30        USA. Boston: gunman kills members of his family, after then he committed suicide

TB        3        USA. New York. The 3rd case of shooting a week in the USA. The shooter took

40 hostages in a migration centre; 13 V, 10 W

              5        USA. St. Washington: shooter killed 5 children and himself in a car. This is the 5th case of

mass shooting a week in the USA

              7        Germany. Bavaria: confused shooting in a court: killed 2 persons and himself

            10         USA. A man killed a girl and himself in a college

            10         Russia. Novosibirsk: a man was shooting in passer-by and car from his flat: 1 V, 2 W.

He was killed at police storm

            11          Rotterdam: shooting in a café: 1 V, 3 W


Coercion and cruelty

T8       14         Clearance of children porno production and distribution network in which 77 countries

                        were engaged. politicians, teachers, jurists – 2500  people in total.

Main figurants are Estonian children

            14         Israel: organizers of international girl-trading group are arrested; members of 5 countries

are involved. More than 1000 women from Russia, Ukraine, Moldova, etc. were enslaved. Police prepared this operation 2 years.

T4       16         Austria: Start of the trial on Fritzle – “Austrian monster” who 24 years raped his daughter.

                        She gave birth to 7 children. This case had shocked all the world.

            19         Fritzle , the “maniac of XXI century” is sentenced for term of life on 6 articles

T5       22         Great Britain. By appeal  of parents the court decided  to turn off incurable child from the

system that provided vital functions.

            24        Russia. Moscow: adoptive parents were beating 3 year child who was taken to reanimation;

this event was widely discussed on TV. A suit against the parents was started

TB      3          Russia. Stavropol: a sentence is passed to maniac- paedophile who raped and killed girls



TB        1         Russia. Petersburg: Explosion of monument to Lenin on the most important place of his

activity. Several years such explosions were not seen; formerly they also followed HB Foci

The explosion was set up so that the area of genitals and bottom were torn

              4        Ukraine. Rubezhnoe: explosion of monument to Lenin with the same technique as in Petersburg

            10            Ukraine. Lvov region: local city hall decided to destroy the monument to WWII soldier-liberator

                              as “carrying negative ideas”. Being indignant with this decision, Russia prepares an appeal to

                              International circles. Lvov administration considers 9 monuments more for destruction

               11             France. In Int. Day of prisoners of concentration camps the tombs are assaulted by swastikas



PG      21         Russia. Tula: hold-up of collector car for about $1 million

27         Ireland. Bank officer brought Robber  7 millions Euro under a threat for 3 hostages

            28        Ireland. The robber is caught, but with 4 millions only

T3         3        Russia. Yekaterinburg: a swindle is revealed for $30 millions in a pension fund

              3        Russia. Start of a new trial over Russian billionaire Chodorkovsky. He is accused in theft

and legalization of oil for $25 millions.

              3        Russia. Moscow: a band, that was acting several years under the leadership of Israeli

citizen, is put under arrest which falsify long-term underground tickets, US dollars,

paintings, police and prosecutor certificates, etc. Damage exceeds $ 5 millions.

Equipment and $ 3 millions are withdrawn.

              4        Russia. Moscow: a pirated copy production and distribution network is liquidated; damage

is about $ 14 millions

              7        The canvas are found that were stolen 20 years ago

T8         9        Norway. A canvas is stolen in the value of 2.4 millions Euro

            11          Norway. A canvas that was stolen is found

            12         Russia. Voronezh: jeweller’s is robbed for $ 2.3 millions

            12         Ukraine. Vinnitza: Post is robbed for $ 5 000

            13         Russia. Kuzbass: takeover of a bank; invader is killed, hostages are set free

            13         Russia. Volgograd: highly secret  money-laundering group is arrested; damage exceeds

$ 100 millions; this is a rare event for Russia

            13         Start of a new international military operation against Somalia pirates

            16         Ukraine. The verdict of guilty is brought on “Elite-Centre” –  the greatest swindle in

                        construction sphere in the country: they resold flats twice and thrice, 2000 people damaged

T4       18         Russia. Nalchik: Start of a trial over gangster group of 58 people. They are accused in 35

murderings, hundreds suffered. Special building was constructed for the trial

            19         USA. Owner of auditing firm, accessory of Medoff is arrested

            20        Special case: one of the twins is registered by 3 observation cameras during a robbery of

5 millions Euro; but both are released since it was not proved who of them was at the place

21         France: 3 years old girl is kidnapped for the 3 time. Firstly, by her Russian mother and

taken to Russia, then by her French father and taken to France. This event, as in the

previous cases, is widely discussed on TV. Interpol seeks the girl. Note, that she was

kidnapped by her father on September 22, viz. in the vicinity of the Focus T7 (!)

T5       25         Russia. Moscow: hold-up of collector car for about $300 000, 2 collectors are killed

            26        Great Britain: for the first time the British police agreed on extradition of 2 Russians

TB        2        Russia. Moscow: start of legal proceedings on “Shadow (Night) Governor” of Petersburg;

                        the preceding is put off till April 8. He was arrested in Petersburg by a team of 60

                        policemen that specially came at 2 planes from Moscow, half a year before.

              6        Ukraine. Kiev: a robber shot in cashier, but run away without taking money

              6        Moscow: 3 armed men attacked collectors; the latter repulsed: 3 wounded, 1 robber detained

  7        Russia. Rostov: raiders’ attack (50 persons) is repelled who tried to seize an oil refinery

  9        Russia. Ingushetia: with the use of rangers and armoured car a band of counterfeiter is

arrested in 5 places with a high quality equipment, Russian Roubles and USD

10         Russia. Novorossiysk: hold-up of collector car for $ 300 000; 1 collector is killed

13         Hungary. Mother of the kidnapped girl is arrested (See March 21)


3.2. Violation of frontiers and military operations


T3         3        Ukraine: Parliament dismisses Foreign Minister for inadequate policy (including consent

                        on transfer of part of Ukrainian continental shelf to Rumania)

              5        Norway detains Russian trawler

              8        GB/Argentine wrangle as to Antarctic shelf: Argentine declared its claims (GB – earlier)

T4       16         Lebanon firstly opened its embassy in Syria

            18         Egypt opened its border with Gaza for 2 days

            21         It is announced by Ministry of Defence of the USA  that two weeks ago (viz. at T3) Chinese

patrol boat attacked US ship (in neutral waters re to USA, in territorial waters, re to China)

T5       25         EU adopts bio parameters for obtaining visas 

            26        Russia bans import of chicken-meat from 3 US enterprises

            29         Switzerland joins Schengen Agreement (re to airports)

TB        1         Czechia stops granting visas for work

              7        Georgia detains Russian ship

Military tests, manoeuvres, wars

T3         5        Russia-NATO council functioning is restored to a full scale

              8        Iran launches new long-range missile

T8       11          President declares that the time has come when France must be integrated in NATO

T4       17         President announces new rearmament plan for Russian army: increase in alertness, etc.

            17         Russia. New regiment of S-400 (Triumph) is set on duty

            17         Czechia: PM recalls the legislation as to allocation of USA antimissile rockets

            17         Declaration as to the First international manoeuvres of ODKB in Kazakhstan

            17         USA. Successive test of antimissile rocket

            18         French Parliament adopts the decision to join NATO

            18         Declaration: peacemaking forces in Pridnestrovie (between Ukraine and Moldova) will be disband

            20        Russia had formed the military bases in Abkhazia and S. Ossetia 


T5       24        Spiegel: European experts conclude that the Georgia-Russian conflict of 2008 was started